Prisco pick for NFL Week 10: Bills rebound and chill Vikings, Steelers upset Saints, Bucs win in Germany

Boy, did I cool off quickly with my choices.

After a very good match pick record in week 8, week 9 was not so kind. I went 4-7–2 in my CBS Sports Expert picks, 9-4 straight, and 2-2-2 with my best bets as part of the Pick-Six podcast. Can I tell you how much I hate ties?

That brings my season ATS record to 62-68-6, my straight record to 77-58-1 and my best bets record to 29-22-2. It’s not terrible, but the last week has not been good.

It’s time to sweep the board, which means having good weeks in all three phases of the game.

I am from.

Please.

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime)

Latest odds:

Atlanta Falcons -3

The Falcons beat the Panthers two weeks ago in a tight game that was decided in the dying seconds. The Panthers were knocked out last week by the Bengals and looked lifeless. The Falcons play close games, always fight, and it will show here. Hawks win it.

Take: Falcons 26, Panthers 20

Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET (NFLN, FuboTV)

Featured game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Seattle Seahawks

It’s been a brutal journey for the Seahawks. It’s tough for Tampa Bay, but Seattle really gets the tree. The Bucs showed something by coming back to beat the Rams last Sunday. Look for Tom Brady to continue. The Bucs win it.

Take: Bucs 28, Seahawks 23

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Latest odds:

Buffalo Tickets -5

It’s the big game of the week. This could be a problem for Kirk Cousins, who hasn’t played well in them. The Bills haven’t looked great on offense in the last game and a half, but that will change here if Josh Allen can play. Look for bills to get you back on track. They win big.

Take: Tickets 30, Vikings 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured game | Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions are coming off an upset against the Packers, while the Bears are coming off a tough loss to the Dolphins. Justin Fields was exceptional in this game. The Lions have defensive issues, which Fields will exploit. It will be a high score, but the Bears will win it.

Take: Bears 34, Lions 29

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chiefs barely beat the Titans in overtime on Sunday night, while the Jaguars are coming off a win over the Raiders. The Jaguars have played a lot of close games, and this one will be no different. The Chiefs will win it, but Jacksonville will keep it close with their running offense.

Take: Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured game | Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns come out of a bye with a tough trip to face a hot team. The Dolphins are rolling on offense, which will present a challenge for a Browns team that has struggled on defense. Miami’s defense isn’t playing very well either. Look for a lot of points, but Miami wins it.

Take: Dolphins 34, Browns 27

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured game | New York Giants vs. Houston Texans

The Giants just got a bye, while the Texans played last Thursday. The Giants had run defense issues, which could mean a big game for Dameon Pierce. I’m looking for Texans hanging out because of this. The Giants win it, but it’s close.

Take: Giants 23, Texans 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints are coming off a bad loss to the Ravens. They struggled in all areas. The Steelers come out of a bye. This could be a big chance for the Steelers to get Kenny Pickett’s first win as a starter. Their defense leads the way.

Take: Steelers 23, Saints 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured game | Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos

The Titans are back home after going 1-1 on a two-game road trip, barely losing to the Chiefs in overtime. They could have Ryan Tannehill back at quarterback, which they need. The Broncos are coming off of a bye, but it’s a tough trip to get back on. Seek out the Titans to earn it.

Take: Titans 26, Broncos 18

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts

It’s basically a sort of elimination game. These two have been big disappointments so far. The Colts fired Frank Reich, hiring Jeff Saturday to take over, but that won’t matter. Their offense is a mess. The Raiders will win this one easily.

Take: Raiders 28, Colts 19

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured game | Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys

It’s Mike McCarthy’s return to Green Bay. The Cowboys coach doesn’t make much of it, but you can bet his players will. The Packers are in shock. They are lifeless in attack and injuries have crippled them. The Cowboys are better. Dak Prescott and his gang earn it for McCarthy.

Take: Cowboys 27, Packers 16

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

Featured game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Rams haven’t played well at all this season, but Arizona hasn’t been much better. The Rams struggled on offense, mostly because of a poor offensive line. But it’s a chance to try to turn things around. They played well against Arizona under Sean McVay and they will do it here.

Take: Rams 24, Cardinals 17

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, FuboTV)

Featured game | San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers are playing back-to-back road games, while the 49ers are coming off a bye. It’s a bad combination, but what’s even worse for the Chargers is their run defense against San Francisco’s run game. Christian McCaffrey will go wild in this one. The 49ers take it.

Take: 49ers 27, Chargers 20

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, FuboTV)

Featured game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders

The Eagles are riding high and will be rested here, having played last Thursday. Commanders blew a lead last week to the Vikings. The Eagles will continue to play their attacking role, but they need to strengthen their run defense. The Eagles take it but Washington drags.

Take: Eagles 30, Commanders 20

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