Stock futures fall as election results fluctuate

U.S. stocks fell Wednesday after three days of gains as investors pondered a mixed verdict from the midterm election results and much-anticipated inflation data loomed on the record.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost more than 2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell nearly 650 points, or about 2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell nearly 2.5%, or 260 points.

Investor optimism during the three-day rally in stocks was built on expectations that Republicans would gain ground and create a stalemate in Washington. But the Republican red wave did not materialize in the US midterm elections. Democrats managed to flip a crucial Senate seat, with John Fetterman beating Mehmet Oz in the race in Pennsylvania. As of Wednesday night, control of the House and Senate hung in the balance.

Georgia’s U.S. Senate race, meanwhile, is heading to a runoff, with neither leading candidate on track to win a majority of votes.

The year following the midterm elections tends to see the highest equity returns, according to LPL Financial.

“Dating back to 1951, a Democratic president with a Republican or split Congress, the two most likely cases in this election, has seen an average S&P 500 index return of over 17% versus an overall average of just a little more than 12%,” Barry Gilbert, asset allocation strategist at LPL Financial, wrote in a note.

The final outcome of the midterm results may not be known for days or weeks, but Wall Street pros don’t expect a big move in the markets.

“We expect the impact of the election to tip the market positive, in part because we will have it behind us,” Gilbert added. “As far as markets are concerned, the policy impact will likely be small and market participants will continue to focus more on central bank policy and inflation.”

At this point, investors will turn their attention to Thursday morning’s inflation report, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October. Economists polled by Bloomberg expect headline CPI at an annual rate of 7.9%, down from 8.2% the previous month. Even though the report shows that prices are beginning to moderate, core CPI remains well above the Fed’s comfort zone.

“We’re still well above that 2% target,” Rebecca Felton, senior strategist at RiverFront Investment Group, told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday. “So we don’t think the Fed is going to ease anytime soon in the short term. And so rates will stay higher for longer and inflationary pressures will clearly stay higher for longer as well.

In company news on Wednesday, Meta Platforms (META) said the social media giant would cut more than 11,000 jobs, or around 13% of staff, as the company restructures to deal with the collapse of the digital advertising market. Disney (DIS) reported weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter results on Tuesday as the streaming business led to larger losses that offset strong performance at theme parks. Disney stock lost more than 13%.

Elsewhere in the markets, the largest US homebuilder DR Horton Inc. (DHI) reported fourth-quarter earnings that showed buyers canceled nearly a third of deals, the latest red flag for the housing market . Tesla stock also fell on Wednesday following a filing showing CEO Elon Musk sold 19.5 million shares Nov. 4-8. The sale came after he bought Twitter for $44 billion.

On the earnings side, Rivian (RIVN), Wynn Resorts (WYNN) and Bumble (BMBL) are among the companies expected to report results on Wednesday.

Cryptocurrencies were under pressure as investors digested the news that crypto exchange Binance said it would drop an initial offer to acquire rival FTX after a review of the company’s structure and books. the company. Bitcoin fell more than 10% to trade at its lowest level in two years.

Cryptocurrency-related stocks also took a hit. Shares of cryptocurrency exchange competitor Coinbase (COIN) fell 5.3%. Robinhood (HOOD) markets fell more than 7%. According to an SEC filing in May, Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, purchased 7.6% of the company’s Class A shares. In an interview reported by The Wall Street Journal, he said his company was open to partnerships with Robinhood.

In bond markets, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bill rose slightly to around 4.1% on Wednesday. And in oil markets, Brent crude, the international benchmark, slipped 1.1% to $94.35 a barrel, extending losses for the third straight day, while the dollar also erased losses.

—

Dani Romero is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @daniromerotv

Click here for the latest stock market news and in-depth analysis, including events moving stocks

Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance

Download the Yahoo Finance app to Apple Where android

Follow Yahoo Finance on Twitter, Facebook, instagram, Flipboard, LinkedInand Youtube

Add Comment